Anzalone Liszt for Travis Childers (9/7-10, likely voters, 6/8 in parens):
Travis Childers (D-inc): 51 (46)
Greg Davis (R): 39 (39)
Undecided: 10 (-)
(MoE: ±4.4%)
The people can’t help but like Childers. His favorable/unfavorable rating is 55-24, while Greg Davis is still stuck in a special election hangover, with only a 40-32 favorable rating.
Anzalone has had a great track record with this race. Their polling correctly predicted a dead heat in early April, and private numbers also showed Childers with a slight lead heading into the final runoff in May. Despite Sarah Palin awakening a Zombie Republican Army across the nation, things are looking very good for Cold Chillin’ Travis this fall.
Boy, that special election sure was a lot of fun, wasn’t it?
Update: The full polling memo is available below the fold.
I was SOOOOOOOOOOO happy.
Really, really amazing moment.
Childers should be fine. Another race that the DCCC can pull out of mostly.
Let’s hope he can help Ronnie Musgrove up the ticket!
(Or even down the ticket, if that’s where Haley “this is totally legitimate” Barbour wants to put him!)
But fawning over Travis Childers? I just don’t get it.
who would be the first person posting here complaining that Childers isn’t a progressive, but I see that andgarden has already accomplished that. 🙂
Let’s face it, in a place like MS-01, either we get a conservative Democrat, or an ultra-conservative Republican. Which would you rather have?
My comment from April (regarding Cazayoux) still stands.
I remember this awesome race, it was what finally got me to make can account on swing state project
Travis Childers is just as liberal as his colleague Gene Taylor from the 4th. Although I don’t see eye to eye with them on all the issues, I still have a deep respect for them. One of the big things I’ve noticed is that even though they are socially conservative they rarely bring up(author) those amendments(flag burning, gay marriage, etc.) Sure they would vote for those amendments if they came onto the floor but they don’t bring it to the floor themselves. Also its thanks to them that the Dems control a majority of the Ms house delegation (3 to 1)
Childers is an improvement over what the Republicans elect in Mississippi. Heck, he’s an improvement over what the Republicans elect here in NJ and that is about asd “ggood” as it gets for them. I have three criteria for not supporting certain Democrats:
1) They are conservatives from liberal districts (Dan Lipinski) or more conservative than is needed to win elections (Leonard “Mr Excitement not” Boswell). Paul Tonko from NY-21 fits this bill as far as I can tell.
2) They have big mouths and constantly shoot down “the Democrats” “liberals” “Congress”, etc. They vocally support Bush. Worse, some actually lead the surrender parade. Steny Hoyer this is you. Melissa Bean, this is you. Brian Naird and Joe Lieberman, front and center.
3) They are a drain on resources and/or a crook. Bill Jefferson and Leonard Boswell (again) and Jim Marshall.
It was. The best since Webb beat Sen Macaca.
Reps like these form our bench when we try to win the governorships and senate seats. In Virginia, bloggers often bemoan the fact that there are so few Dem congressmen available to run statewide.
Can someone please tell me why Hoyer and Bean are considered pro-Bush?
He can go ahead and represent his constituents all he likes. I probably disagree with him on most of the important issues, but as noted, he’s – in many ways – better than a Republican from that district. But you know what? He’s certainly not a loyal Democrat – loyal Democrats don’t screw other Democrats for cheap political points at home.
So really, if he loses? Fine by me. His sponsorship of the DC gun bill shows a serious lack of character on his part.
Look, the Dem leadership made sure Travis put that gun amendment forward to help with his constituency back home. The bill has zero cance of passing the Senate and Childers gets a big pro-gun badge to wear in his re-election bid. Pelosi is taking care of our man Travis.
The wingnuts down here keep syaing that Desoto County was not polled in this new poll. I can’t access Roll Call. Can you tell me more about the polling firm and technique so I can fend off these buzzards on my blog?